Cyberworlds - Theory , Design and Potential - Tosiyasu

نویسنده

  • Tosiyasu L. KUNII
چکیده

ion of the human history.. Pax Informatica as the cyberworld era Crash: An Economic Crisis and Chaos The closing of the gold window by Richard M. Nixon on Sunday, August 15, 1971 had laid the ground for monetary crisis around the world [11]. The gold window was established in 1946 based on the Bretton Woods Agreement Act, prepared by the representatives of major trading nations, met in 1944 in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, and signed by President Harry S. Truman on Tuesday, July 31, 1945. Even with a strong economy, on October 19, 1987 called the Black Monday and the next day, October 20, 1987 called the Terrible Tuesday, the entire financial system of the USA came close to a complete meltdown. Computer networks have linked stock exchanges around the world into one market place as cyberworlds. Now, let us add the great power shift from 1988 AD and beyond to the Table 2. Theorem as Prediction: Nonlinear, and quality dominate the world power shift in the cyberworld era. Since the axiom were validated, how about and what about the prediction of the future of the world? Unlike Paul Kennedy’s prediction, X is not Japonica. Now, for the first time in the human history, it is not the quantity but the quality that takes the lead and will be the master of the stage and scenes of the real world. Computer networks have linked the world at the information’ speed enough for any power to have a power area size far beyond the whole area of the globe, but with a momentary power period making the global world economically unstable as Soros has pointed out [12]. Through the digital TV technology the USA and Europe have been developing, TV and computer networks can merge together. Computers have become more than electronic theaters. Computer networks can broadcast computer-simulated scenes of the “nuclear winter” presented by Carl Sagan of Cornell University in 1983, forcing the power shift from military to economic dominance. The military use of the Prometheus’ nucleic fire is now blocked. The power period of 5 minutes causes fast switching of momentary great powers, forcing the great powers to turn into cooperative powers. It means no more rise and fall of the great powers. Hence, Pax Japonica is impossible. Japan will be one of the cooperative world powers. The world architectural model has to be changed from a monolithic linear world power shift model such as The Great Powers Information Carrier Information Speed The Power Area Size The Power Period Pax Romana human feet networks 5 10 km/hour 2 million km 1000 years Pax Britanica surface vehicle networks 50 100 km/hour 20 million km 100 years A Pax Americana aircraft networks 5001000 km/hour 200 million km (40 % of the whole globe surface) 10 years Tab. 1 Summary of the Great Power Shift from 3,100 BC to 1987 AD. The Great Powers Information Carrier Information Speed The Power Area Size The Power Period Pax Romana human feet networks 5 10 km/hour 2 million km 1000 years Pax Britanica surface vehicle networks 50 100 km/hour 20 million km 100 years Pax Americana aircraft networks 5001000 km/hour 200 million km (40 % of the whole globe surface) 10 years Pax Informatica Computer networks 0.5 billion km/hour 500 thousand times of the whole globe surface 5 minutes Tab. 2 The great power shift from 1988 AD and beyond. IEICE TRANS. FUNDAMENTALS/COMMUN./ELECTRON./INF. & SYST., VOL. E88D, No. 5 MAY 2005 799 Pax Romana to a cellular structured space model or, when diffeomorphism holds, a manifold model, where varieties of coordinates called “cells” or “charts” coexist [13-15]. The coordinates can represent any values, such as economical, military, cultural, religious, humane or even ethical values. The excess power of computer networks allows the world to select the expert goals from the trivial. Even old analogue TV networks have already caused world power meltdowns. The domino effect of world power meltdowns took place in the Eastern Europe in Romania in 1989, in Germany in 1990, and finally in the Soviet Union in the late 1991. Computer networks can cause further extreme power meltdowns. Media events or media shows in the digital cyberspaces of synthetic worlds that I named virtual worlds in 1984 [19, 20] will play the central roles in real world decision making in the worlds of politics, economics, industry and commerce. Electronic commerce (EC) is an example. We are shifting to Pax Informatica that is not any more another great power, but a cooperative power. The theorems and lemma as the prediction of the future of the real world are derived from the axioms. Theorem 1 on the power area of cyberworlds: 500 thousand times of the whole globe surface. Theorem 2 on the power period of cyberworlds:

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تاریخ انتشار 2005